Trump’s having the roughest stretch of his presidency — or any presidency in modern times, really. He’s not out of the woods on a tough primary but he has four years to solve that problem. Subscriptions are available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year that provide subscribers with exclusive access to more than 20 stories per week on upcoming elections, consumer confidence, and issues that affect us all. The guy who voted to remove him might be getting a second look from some heretofore skeptical Utahns. Third, and most intriguingly, maybe his bounce is a reaction to the rocky patch Trump has hit. I’ll give you three theories to explain it. The Washington Post had Trump trailing Biden by 10 over the weekend, 53/43, when they had the race nearly tied two months ago. — Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) June 3, 2020. Today Trump is at 43.5 percent approval in the RCP average, his lowest number since early December, i.e. Morning Consult has him at 41/53 on that issue right now, his worst rating yet, with approval down in all three partisan groups (by 19 net points among Republicans since March). Instead, it is President Obama who is making gains. More voters think that Trump’s handling of the outbreak has made it less likely (38%) rather than more likely (18%) that he will be reelected in November. A new UtahPolicy.com/KUTV 2News survey shows 56 percent of Utah voters either “strongly” or “somewhat” approve of Romney’s job performance. Polls are only displayed here if they meet CNN’s standards for reporting. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. I think people generally remember the Obama wins as much easier and more predictable than they were. It is important to remember that in the U.S., the president is elected by the electoral college, not by the popular vote, and national polls can only approximate the popular vote. (They were identical in January.) Among 12 national polls published on Monday, Mr. Obama led by an average of 1.6 percentage points. Romney also sought to rally Tea Party conservatives by opposing the ACA and advocating tax cuts. Obama has the support of 79% of Democrats, while 73% of Republicans back Romney. He topped 50 percent reliably through much of 2016 and ended up at 57 percent on Election Day, which I’ve always taken as a reflection of how voters felt about the choice facing them: “I’m not crazy about Obama but he’s better than these two losers.” Maybe Romney’s benefiting from the same effect. RNC chair deletes tweet suggesting that Harris will be vice president, Biden COVID adviser: What we need is a 4-6 week national lockdown, Karl Rove: The election results won’t be overturned, Rubio: The GOP is a working-class party now and needs to rebrand that way for 2024, Trump: ABC/WaPo is guilty of having produced a “possibly illegal suppression poll”. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Tea Party members favor Romney. RCP poll leads on this day in history: 2020: Biden +8.0 2016: Clinton +1.5 2012: Obama +1.3 2008: Obama +1.4. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. Maybe Romney’s a beneficiary. Last week his disapproval touched 54.1 percent, the highest level since mid-November. Polls shown below track voters’ views nationwide on the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. “In my state, I’ll bet 90% of us vote by mail. The generic Republican picked up 49% support, while Obama earned 41%. The Republicans experienced a competitive primary.Romney was consistently competitive in the polls and won the support of many party leaders, but he faced challenges from a number of more conservative contenders. President Trump's approval numbers posted every weekday, Libertarians' Johnson Makes Little Dent in Clinton-Trump Race, Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, available for $4.95 a month or 34.95 a year, Most Decided Their Vote Over A Month Ago, Worry About Voter Fraud, Only 56% of Biden Voters Say They Were Voting FOR Biden. Trump's disapproval rating has been on the rise again, now up to 54%. If it's in the news, it's in our polls. Mike Lee, Utah’s other senator, is at 46/47 approval. If I’m right that Romney’s political fortunes are destined to increase (modestly) the more Trump looks unequal to the enormous challenges that face him then it’s no surprise that he’s up in Utah right now. Whether it’s the pandemic or the economic crater or the fallout from his handling of the George Floyd protests is unclear but he’s unquestionably having a bad patch here. Is the White House done with the pandemic? But many polls anticipate a more Democratic electorate than 2008. Trump's disapproval rating has been on the rise again, now up to 54%. Quinnipiac University (10/28-11/1), NBC/WSJ (10/29-10/31), Fox News (10/27-10/29), CNN/SSRS (10/23-10/26). Rasmussen Reports is a media company specializing in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information. (To see question wording, click here.). His numbers are in uncharted territory in other polling too: 2020: Biden +8.02016: Clinton +1.52012: Obama +1.32008: Obama +1.4. If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Perhaps more important is the trend in the surveys. It stood at 50% to 41% last month, 48% to 44% in April, and 48% to 45% in March…. (Want a free daily e-mail update? For those who are really into the numbers, Platinum Members can review demographic crosstabs and a full history of our data. The Democrat’s lead has been slowly widening. “technically it’s his property and there’s no crimes involved.”, A lot of virtual ink for someone who is best known for losing, “Rubio told me he is leaving the door open for a 2024 presidential run…”, “Most of the objections raised in the submitted affidavits are grounded in an extraordinary failure to understand how elections function.”, Yeah, I’m not sure any righty anywhere on the pro- or anti-Trump spectrum wants a civic lecture from this guy, …, “What do you do if our people don’t show up and his do?”, “…drive the number of new cases and hospitalizations down to manageable levels”, Portland city commissioner who supports defunding the police called 911 on her Lyft driver, More MSNBC paid contributors axed, join Team Biden. But the most recent set of polls suggest another problem for Mr. Romney, whose momentum in the polls stalled out in mid-October. At that time, Texas Governor Rick Perry was the only Republican contender leading the president, with a 44% to 41% advantage. Second, the last time Romney skirmished with Trump was over the issue of mail-in voting, and Utahns are on his side on that. A majority of independents and Democrats also say they approve. This article provides a collection of statewide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 2012 United States presidential election, which was won by incumbent President Barack Obama.The polls show the status between Republican nominee Mitt Romney and President Obama. Trump’s never been as low as 38 percent favorable or as high as 57 percent unfavorable in a Monmouth poll over the past nine months, not even during impeachment. Hardcore Trumpers will bear him a grudge forever (note his disapproval among “strong” Republicans in the excerpt) but Utah has fewer hardcore Trumpers than most other states. Copyright HotAir.com/Salem Media. He was bullish on Romney in 2012, even going as far as saying the polls were weighted incorrectly (I believed that too then) and he was wrong. That’s a net turnaround of 27 points in two months despite the fact that Romney hasn’t had much to do lately in Congress except rubber-stamp coronavirus fiscal relief packages. Nightly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Rasmussen Reports web site many times each day. All Rights Reserved. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney now holds a sliver of a lead over President Obama in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. The match-up surveys of 1,000 Likely Voters were conducted September 10-11 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. 42 percent say they disapprove. I think people generally remember the Obama wins as much easier and more predictable than they were. The poll of polls includes the most recent polls which meet CNN’s. 69 percent of “strong” Republicans disapprove of how Romney is handling his job, but 55 percent of moderate Republicans approve of him. Romney earns 43% support to the president’s 40% in the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Obama’s approval rating was 52% among all respondents in early November 2012. Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. There were some presidents with lower approval ratings to this point in their first terms, but no president had a higher *disapproval* rating than Trump now has.https://t.co/Vfmzd6B2ps pic.twitter.com/X3qpeAwoAe, — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) June 2, 2020. Polls and chart for 2012 Florida President: Romney vs. Obama. Romney’s approval rises to 56/42 in new Utah poll. Tucker Zeroes In On the Demographic That Really Wants to Defund the Police...It's Not Shocking, Tell Hillary: Rep. Jackie Speier warns the Trump administration that destroying documents is a felony, ATF Head Reportedly Already Working With Biden, CCPA - Do Not Sell My Personal Information. New from Monmouth: Biden currently has the support of 52% of registered voters and Trump has the support of 41%. See methodology. Romney led Obama in the final Gallup pre-election poll 49% to 48%, predicting a close result on Election Day. AllahpunditPosted at 8:41 pm on June 3, 2020. It works very very well and it’s a very Republican state,” he told reporters a few weeks ago when Trump was ranting about the process as some sort of election-rigging conspiracy. As the incumbent president, Obama secured the Democratic nomination without serious opposition. Less than three weeks ago, Romney trailed Obama 43% to 39%. First, Utah Republicans just can’t stay mad at the first Mormon major-party presidential nominee in American history, especially since his impeachment vote ultimately didn’t prevent Trump’s acquittal. Someone who doesn’t like how Trump is handling the pandemic, say, logically shouldn’t let that affect their assessment of whether the House’s case against Trump in the Ukraine matter had merit. Poll of the week. Romney is in a strong political position right now with a net positive approval of +14. A generic Republican candidate earned the highest level of support to date against the president in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup for the week ending Sunday, September 4. There’s a poll of the Georgia Senate runoff races…should we look? Additionally, the data drives a daily update newsletter and various media outlets across the country. Some information, including the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll and commentaries are available for free to the general public. Voters. This marks a shift from April when opinion on this question was almost evenly divided (31% less likely to 27% more likely). Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, the Republican leads by 13 points – 42% to 29%. Reading today’s poll, I thought back to the fact that Obama spent much of his presidency polling in the mid-40s in job approval until the 2016 campaign really got rolling, when he began to creep up. Some who’ve grown to feel dissatisfied with Trump’s performance may decide in their annoyance that “Romney was right” and reward him for it with a good rating of his own. Nine percent (9%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. Latest Election Polls. To learn more about our methodology, click here. View the polls in the CNN Poll of Polls: Quinnipiac University (10/28-11/1), NBC/WSJ (10/29-10/31), Fox News (10/27-10/29), CNN/SSRS (10/23-10/26) Become a Rasmussen Reader to read the article. Americans, by a wide margin (56 percent to 37 percent), think Barack Obama was a … Joe Biden’s definitely a beneficiary. Non-members prefer the president 50% to 34%. How come. But politics doesn’t work in logical linear fashion that way. The CNN Poll of Polls tracks the average poll result in the race for president between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden.