Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990-2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016. 2012 Oct;26(5):637-47. doi: 10.1016/j.berh.2012.07.014. The incidence rate of THAs is anticipated to increase from 338 to 437 (357-535) per 100,000 inhabitants (29% [95% CI 6 to 58]) between 2016 and 2040. The total number of TKAs is expected to increase by 45% (95% CI 14 to 8), from 168,772 procedures in 2016 to 244,714 (95% CI 191,920 to 312,551) in 2040. Clipboard, Search History, and several other advanced features are temporarily unavailable. Hadj-Abo A, Enge S, Rose J, Kunte H, Fleischhauer M. PLoS One. Clipboard, Search History, and several other advanced features are temporarily unavailable. Much of the projected increase in Germany will be from the use of TKA in younger patients and from the use of THA in elderly patients. Methods: Indice de fécondité et taux de natalité. Level III, economic and decision analysis. that might pose a conflict of interest in connection with the submitted article. Get the latest research from NIH: https://www.nih.gov/coronavirus. HHS Migration and integration. Based on data from 65 million insurees of the German statutory health insurance, we projected the age-specific prevalence of diabetes using mathematical relations between prevalence, incidence rate and mortality. For this purpose, a Poisson regression analysis using age, gender, state, healthcare expenditure, and calendar year as covariates was performed. Tamayo T, Brinks R, Hoyer A, Kuß O, Rathmann W. The prevalence and incidence of diabetes in Germany: an analysis of statutory health insurance data on 65 million individuals from the years 2009 and 2010. Clipboard, Search History, and several other advanced features are temporarily unavailable. National Center for Biotechnology Information, Unable to load your collection due to an error, Unable to load your delegates due to an error. Population pyramid of Germany in 1933. See also the number of migrants for this country. Simply applying current age-specific prevalence to the future age structure probably underestimates the future number of Type 2 diabetes cases. ; Germany 2020 population is estimated at 83,783,942 people at mid year according to UN data. Lancet 2011; 378: 31-40. For TKA, the incidence rate is expected to increase from 245 TKAs per 100,000 inhabitants to 379 (297-484) (55%, 95% CI 21 to 98). La croissance de la population réunionnaise diminuerait au fil des années. Background: Components of diabetes prevalence in Denmark 1996-2016 and future trends until 2030. Conclusions: The consensus is that in industrialized countries, this increase is driven by demographic changes with more elderly people being less willing to accept activity limitations. The most populous member state is Germany, with an estimated 82.8 million people, and the least populous member state is Malta with 0.48 million. [Article in German] Sommer B. PIP: Population projections for Germany are presented for the period 1993-2040 using three different variants. When East Germany and West Germany were reunited in 1990, the population of East Germany was around 16.1 million people. Germany Area and Population Density. Results: J Health Monit 2017; 2: 98-121. Social statistics. National, regional, and global trends in fasting plasma glucose and diabetes prevalence since 1980: systematic analysis of health examination surveys and epidemiological studies with 370 country-years and 2.7 million participants. This site needs JavaScript to work properly. Through 2040, the greatest increase in TKAs is predicted to occur in patients aged 40 to 69 years (40- to 49-year-old patients: 269% (95% CI 179 to 390); 50- to 59-year-old patients: 94% (95% CI 48 to 141); 60- to 69-year-old patients: 43% (95% CI 13 to 82). To project the number of people with Type 2 diabetes in Germany between 2015 and 2040. 2020 Aug;8(1):e001064. Carmienke S, Baumert J, Gabrys L, Heise M, Frese T, Heidemann C, Fink A. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. Gerdau-Heitmann C, Mümken S, Eberhard S, Koppelin F. Bundesgesundheitsblatt Gesundheitsforschung Gesundheitsschutz. La population totale de la France (DROM inclus) devrait atteindre 72,9 millions au 1 er janvier 2040 et 78,7 millions d'habitants en 2080. Chart and table of Germany population from 1950 to 2020. The researchers assume a reduction in the per capita income of €3,700 until 2040. Map of population density in Germany in 2006. Get the latest public health information from CDC: https://www.coronavirus.gov. Epub 2012 Aug 10. | Results of total joint arthroplasty and joint preserving surgery in younger patients evaluated by alternative outcome measures. The projections are the eighth in a series carried out by the state statistical offices and coordinated by the Federal Statistical Office. | Population projection. The changing demographics of total joint arthroplasty recipients in the United States and Ontario from 2001 to 2007. Epub 2014 Dec 3. Get the latest research from NIH: https://www.nih.gov/coronavirus. Natalité. Application of current age-specific prevalence estimates to the projected age structure in 2040, although ignoring temporal trends in incidence and mortality, yielded an increase in the number of Type 2 diabetes cases from 6.9 million in 2015 to 8.3 million (+21%) in 2040. Households and families. Prevalence of type 2 diabetes in Germany in 2040: estimates from an epidemiological model. 82.1 mn population in 2040. USA.gov. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. | The projections are the eighth in a series carried out by the state statistical offices and coordinated by the Federal Statistical Office. Based on these United Nations projections, the German population is likely to decline by over 10 million people as we move towards the end of the 21st century. Find NCBI SARS-CoV-2 literature, sequence, and clinical content: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/sars-cov-2/. Heidemann C, Scheidt-Nave C. Prevalence, incidence and mortality of diabetes mellitus in adults in Germany - a review in the framework of the Diabetes Surveillance. (2) How is arthroplasty usage in Germany expected to vary as a function of patient age during this time span? 2017. The projected age-specific prevalence was applied to the projected age structure of the German population between 2015 and 2040 to calculate the number of people with Type 2 diabetes. Clin Orthop Relat Res. Three population pyramids of Germany: in 1889, 1989 and 2000. COVID-19 is an emerging, rapidly evolving situation. Get the latest public health information from CDC: https://www.coronavirus.gov. Future projections for both TKA and THA in the United States and other countries forecast a further increase of already high numbers of joint replacements. Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis) | 2020, Usage data on this website are processed only to the extent necessary and only for specific purposes. Methods: R01 AG058878/AG/NIA NIH HHS/United States. Related Topics. 2016 Mar 18;113(11):177-82. doi: 10.3238/arztebl.2016.0177. Projecting the impact of AIDS on mortality. [Population trends up to 2040]. The largest increase in THAs is expected in the elderly (80- to 89-year-old patients (71% [95% CI 40 to 110]). Although living standards have improved dramatically in the East over the past 20 years, it still lags behind in economic development, and as a result, many people head west in search of better job opportunities. Epub 2013 May 18. De 1,2 % en moyenne par an entre 1999 et 2013, le nombre d’habitants augmenterait de 0,9 % jusqu’en 2020 et de 0,5 % entre 2040 … Deaths, life expectancy. [Population trends up to 2030: results of the seventh coordinated population projections]. Bozic KJ, Kamath AF, Ong K, Lau E, Kurtz S, Chan V, Vail TP, Rubash H, Berry DJ. [Trends in private households up to 2015]. United Nations projections are also included through the year 2100. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0227995. Germany Urban Population Currently, 76.4 % of the population of Germany is urban (63,787,507 people in 2019) S1) to project the future age‐specific prevalence between 2015 and 2040. You are here: Homepage; Themes; Society and environment; Population; Population projection; Table of content. This site needs JavaScript to work properly. Other indicators visualized on maps: (In English only, for now) Adolescent fertility rate (births per 1,000 women ages 15-19) Population; Current population. COVID-19 is an emerging, rapidly evolving situation. [Population trends up to 2040]. Get your mind blown on a daily basis: Thank you! Detailed information can be found in our data privacy statement: Privacy Policy. 1993 Sep-Oct;51(5):254-64. Danaei G, Finucane MM, Lu Y, Singh GM, Cowan MJ, Paciorek CJ et al. Wilke T, Mueller S, Fuchs A, Kaltoft MS, Kipper S, Cel M. Diabetes Ther. - Keywords: demography, population pyramid, age pyramid, aging, retirement, Germany, 2040. USA.gov. Level of evidence: 2020 Jan 29;15(1):e0227995. NLM NIH Aims: The results indicate a relative increase in the number of Type 2 diabetes cases of between 54% and 77% from 2015 to 2040. During the same period, the number of primary THAs is expected to increase by 23% (95% CI 0 to 50), from 229,726 to 282,034 (95% CI 230,473 to 345,228). Assumptions are first discussed, and then results are provided for Germany as a whole and for former East and West Germany. Special attention is given to changes in age structure. Gustav-Stresemann-Ring 11 Online ahead of print. Increase in Total Joint Arthroplasty Projected from 2014 to 2046 in Australia: A Conservative Local Model With International Implications. 2017 Aug;475(8):2130-2137. doi: 10.1007/s11999-017-5377-7. The highest birth-rates are found in Ireland with 16.876 births per thousand people per year and France with 13.013 births per thousand people per year. More realistic scenarios that account for decreasing mortality rates and different trends in the incidence rates project between 10.7 million (+54%) and 12.3 million (+77%) Type 2 diabetes cases in 2040. 65189 Wiesbaden, © 21.4 mn population aged 67 and over in 2040. Conclusions: ; Germany ranks number 19 in the list of countries (and dependencies) by population. Each remaining author certifies that neither he, nor any member of his immediate family, have funding or commercial associations (consultancies, stock ownership, equity interest, patent/licensing arrangements, etc.) Epub 2020 Sep 2. Please enable it to take advantage of the complete set of features! [Article in German] Sommer B. PIP: Population projections for Germany are presented for the period 1993-2040 using three different variants. | Demographic statistics. Knee Surg Sports Traumatol Arthrosc. We used an illness–death model (Fig. Due to growing healthcare expenditures in a declining and aging population with a smaller available work force, reliable predictions of procedure volume by age groups are requisite for health and fiscal policy makers to maintain high standards in arthroplasty for the future population.Questions/purposes (1) By how much is the usage of primary TKA and THA in Germany expected to increase from 2016 through 2040? Population projections for Germany are presented for the period 1993-2040 using three different variants. Education, research and culture. Jacobs E, Hoyer A, Brinks R, Kuss O, Rathmann W. Burden of mortality attributable to diagnosed diabetes: a nationwide analysis based on claims data from 65 million people in Germany. Clin Orthop Relat Res. Get the latest research from NIH: https://www.nih.gov/coronavirus. Temporal trends in the incidence rate are the main drivers … This is a stark contrast to other parts of the world, such as the booming megacities in Asia and Africa, that will soon dominate the world’s future demographic landscape. Western Europe Population (total); Countries in Western Europe: Germany; France; Netherlands; Belgium; Austria; Switzerland USA.gov. Participation in structured diabetes mellitus self-management education program and association with lifestyle behavior: results from a population-based study.